Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000704 0.000800 0.000901 0.001016 0.001142 0.001276 0.001429
2025-09-14 0.000552 0.000684 0.000833 0.001013 0.001224 0.001460 0.001743
2025-09-21 0.000464 0.000611 0.000785 0.001003 0.001268 0.001576 0.001959
2025-09-28 0.000393 0.000548 0.000738 0.000986 0.001296 0.001668 0.002142
2025-10-05 0.000357 0.000522 0.000731 0.001012 0.001374 0.001817 0.002396
2025-10-12 0.000325 0.000496 0.000721 0.001031 0.001440 0.001952 0.002632
2025-10-19 0.000288 0.000460 0.000692 0.001022 0.001467 0.002036 0.002805
2025-10-26 0.000255 0.000425 0.000662 0.001008 0.001485 0.002106 0.002960
2025-11-02 0.000234 0.000405 0.000652 0.001018 0.001534 0.002217 0.003170
2025-11-09 0.000213 0.000383 0.000636 0.001019 0.001569 0.002309 0.003355
2025-11-16 0.000186 0.000349 0.000599 0.000988 0.001557 0.002336 0.003453
2025-11-23 0.000163 0.000320 0.000567 0.000960 0.001548 0.002364 0.003551
2025-11-30 0.000148 0.000302 0.000551 0.000957 0.001574 0.002443 0.003723
2025-12-07 0.000135 0.000287 0.000538 0.000958 0.001605 0.002529 0.003905
2025-12-14 0.000121 0.000269 0.000520 0.000947 0.001619 0.002590 0.004054
2025-12-21 0.000108 0.000250 0.000499 0.000931 0.001621 0.002635 0.004178
2025-12-28 0.000103 0.000246 0.000503 0.000956 0.001689 0.002775 0.004444
2026-01-04 0.000097 0.000241 0.000503 0.000974 0.001745 0.002901 0.004689
2026-01-11 0.000088 0.000227 0.000488 0.000965 0.001759 0.002961 0.004841
2026-01-18 0.000079 0.000213 0.000471 0.000952 0.001764 0.003010 0.004975
2026-01-25 0.000074 0.000206 0.000467 0.000962 0.001807 0.003115 0.005195
2026-02-01 0.000068 0.000198 0.000459 0.000963 0.001835 0.003198 0.005383
2026-02-08 0.000060 0.000181 0.000434 0.000933 0.001810 0.003199 0.005446